Risk Regime Signals Today
This page tracks risk regime signals active today — stocks transitioning between calm and stressed trading states across the AlgovestIQ universe. Risk regime signals describe the environment a stock is trading in rather than the direction it is heading, which makes them position-sizing inputs first.
Risk Regime Signals are broadly balanced today.
Bullish triggers make up 59% of directional signals here (net +80), a margin too narrow to read as a directional regime.
Bullish vs bearish balance
- Bullish signals
- 272
- Bearish signals
- 192
- Bullish share
- 59%
- Net direction
- +80
How today compares
Today's snapshot is the first captured for this view, so there is no prior session to compare against yet. Session-over-session and week-over-week comparisons appear here from the next market day onward.
Top risk regime signals
Ranked by how many triggers are firing on each stock, then by confidence — both shown as columns below. Showing the top 20 of 434 stocks in this view.
| Stock | Sector | Strongest signal | Direction | Families | Signals | Confidence | Days active |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARRY Array Technologies, Inc. | Clean Energy / Renewables | Beta Spike Warning | bearish | Risk Regime | 2 | 71 Moderate | — |
| BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. | AI / Data Infrastructure & Crypto Mining | Beta Spike Warning | bearish | Risk Regime | 2 | 71 Moderate | — |
| HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 71 Moderate | — |
| HYLB Xtrackers USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 71 Moderate | — |
| JNK State Street SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 71 Moderate | — |
| MUB iShares National Muni Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 71 Moderate | — |
| SCHZ Schwab U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 71 Moderate | — |
| SPIB State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 71 Moderate | — |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 71 Moderate | — |
| ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation | Internet / Consumer Tech | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
| ATI ATI Inc. | Aerospace & Defense | Beta Spike Warning | bearish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
| JPIE JPMorgan Income ETF | — | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
| BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
| IGSB iShares 1-5 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
| ISTB iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Government | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
| SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Government | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
| SPSB State Street SPDR Portfolio Short Term Corporate Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
| VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
| VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF ETF | Fixed Income — Government | 52-Week High Proximity | bullish | Risk Regime | 2 | 70 Moderate | — |
Signal rankings are quantitative research outputs, not personalized recommendations. Values shown describe the current state of each trigger — an SMA spread is the gap between two moving averages, an RSI reading is the current oscillator level. They are not expected or historical returns. Past signal behaviour does not guarantee future performance.
How this view breaks down
- Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate12
- Fixed Income — Government3
- Clean Energy / Renewables1
- AI / Data Infrastructure & Crypto Mining1
- Internet / Consumer Tech1
- Aerospace & Defense1
Across the 20 stocks listed above.
Reading today's data
464 signals are active across 434 stocks, about 7% of every signal firing in this run.
ARRY (Array Technologies, Inc.) tops the table with 2 triggers firing, led by Beta Spike Warning.
How risk regime signals work
The risk-regime family flags stocks transitioning between risk states — from a calm, low-dispersion regime into a stressed one, or back out of it.
These triggers are about the environment a stock is trading in rather than the direction it is heading. A regime shift into stress is a position-sizing signal first and a directional signal second.
This is distinct from the AIQ Risk Resilience factor, which scores how a stock has withstood volatility over a longer window. Risk Resilience is a level; a risk-regime signal is a change in state.
How confidence is scored. Confidence combines the trigger's impact rating with a per-trigger adjustment reflecting how decisively its condition was met, producing a score on a 55–95 scale. Readings of 80 and above are treated as high, 65–79 as moderate, and below 65 as low. Confidence describes how cleanly a signal fired — it is not a probability of a positive return. Signals of the same type and strength legitimately land on the same value, which is why this page ranks first on how many triggers are firing per stock.
Limitations. Signals are computed from end-of-day data and describe conditions that are true as of the snapshot date shown above. They are probabilistic research analytics, not personalized investment advice, and no forward return is implied by any value on this page. See the AIQ Score methodology for how these triggers relate to the composite score.
Risk Regime Signals — frequently asked questions
What is a risk regime signal?
A trigger flagging that a stock is moving between risk states — out of a calm, low-dispersion regime into a stressed one, or back out of stress into calm.
How is this different from Risk Resilience?
Risk Resilience is a standing score of how well a stock has withstood volatility and drawdowns, where higher is better. A risk regime signal marks a change in state. A stock with strong Risk Resilience can still enter a stressed regime; that combination is often more informative than either reading alone.
Should a risk regime shift change my position?
It is a sizing input rather than a directional one. A shift into a stressed regime means the same position now carries more expected variance, which may justify trimming even when the underlying thesis is unchanged.
Do risk regime signals predict market-wide stress?
They are computed per stock, not at the index level. That said, a sharp rise in the count on this page across many names is a breadth observation worth noting — the comparison block shows how today's count compares with the prior session.
How often are risk regime signals updated?
Once per market day, from the latest completed signal run.