The Mathematics Behind Fibonacci Retracement
The Fibonacci sequence (1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34...) converges to the golden ratio φ ≈ 1.618 as each term is divided by the prior term. The retracement levels derive from ratios between non-adjacent terms: 61.8% (1/1.618), 38.2% (1 - 0.618), and 23.6% (0.382²). The 50% level is not a Fibonacci ratio but is included because markets frequently reverse at exact midpoints, a pattern observed empirically across asset classes and time horizons. The 78.6% level is the square root of 61.8%, included for similar empirical reasons.
To apply Fibonacci retracement on a chart, identify a significant swing high and swing low for an uptrend (or swing high for a downtrend). Draw from the swing low to the swing high. The tool automatically plots the retracement levels as horizontal lines at the percentage distances from the swing high. In a subsequent pullback, these levels mark where buying support might emerge. The 38.2% and 61.8% levels have the strongest empirical backing; the 61.8% is particularly significant because it represents the 'golden ratio' retracement and is associated with trend continuation.